Apple Stock, Are you keeping up?

So how have you been doing with your apple stock? Kicking yourself. Of course. But then you can always just buy more along with the stock you should have sold when Apple began to drop. Oh well… Right?

It’s all about selling and buying on 10 pt increments. When the stock drops 10 pts (+ or – a point) within two days you NEED to SELL!!! Then you need to do the opposite and BUY when the stock rises 10 pts within 2 days. The stock follows a pattern of dropping 20 or more when it really drops, and shooting up 30-40 points when it gets going, in response to new products, the Macworld, and the WWDC events. If you look back you’ll see you could have made at least a 10-15 pt increase even playing it safe and waiting for the stock to drop ten pts.

Don’t let me be your only reason for selling on this pattern though. Just watch the opportunities pass you by and you’ll convince yourself. The perfect opportunity is coming up this Macworld. Good luck trading.

Apple Stock 2.0

This is just a quick post update on my earlier blog about how to manage your apple stock. If anyone has been doing what I told them they would be in the perfect position right now.

In the past few months the apple stock slowly dropped to 150 and has now shot back to 178. given you wait until the stock climbs past 160 to make sure it’s not just a fluctuation you still have a nice increase. Of course now the stock is dropping, so I suggest selling around 164. At least that’s what I plan on. It’s always a good idea to keep an eye on mac rumor sites though, to watch out for things that might boost the stock right when you plan on selling. Things to look out for including “sales report” and “a new report on apple’s market share…“. These are always positive and will boost the stocks. I mean come’on. there was a fire in the apple building and the stock still rose. Just stick to the 10 Point Rule, selling when it dips more than 10 and buying when it jumps more than 10. And don’t forget to sell after the Macworld and the WDDC. Good luck trading.

a quiet reflection

Let’s take a quick moment and zip back to the year 2000. No one would ever believe that there could be a computer that could hold all all your music, or that it would fit in your hand. For those of you with the original iPods, take one out and compare it to the gleam of your iPhone. I must assume that we all agree that what apple does is unparalleled.

In less than 10 years apple has come to control the music player industry and a huge chunk of music distribution. Not to mention the whole time coming out with several releases OS X, iLife, and iWork. Oh, and the hardware updates to go with it.

In the meantime, microsoft has spent the past decade creating the worlds most annoying OS. Vista… :)

What drives apple’s success, apart from Steve Jobs, is the people. Someone once told me about a concept that I will call the “Star Treck Effect” (STE). He told me, the reason we have apple is because people who watched Star Trek set out to make the amazing things they saw on TV. The all-in-one comunicators (iPhone anyone?), amazing medical technology that scans you and tells you what’s wrong (MRI?), phazer beams (well… the handheld version is in the works), and more.

I am more exited than ever by the copycat products other mediocre companies like Dell and HP are releasing. With touchscreen computers and other maclike products, whatever they come up with apple will top it with something revolutionary. Apple has created the tech arms race. When apple came out with the iPhone, other manufacturers did everthing they could to downplay the iPhone. And yet now we see every cell carrier has bent to the demands of their customers and are rushing out iPhone clones.

With apple there’s always something to look forward to. That’s the worst thing and the best thing about them. :)

iPhone app reviews

BIG NEWS “
Galcon has come out with multiplayer support and is now officially the best multiplayer game for the iphone by far.”

Here is list of iPhone apps with short reviews to help you sort through the junk. I will be adding on to this continually as I download and try out new apps. The apps I list will either be in the “good free downloads”, or the “good buys” section.

Good Free Downloads:

WordPress – I had to put this first since I’m sitting here using the very application to write this post. Simple but works great

Phonesaber – it’s just a classic and really shows off the capabilities of the iPhones accelerometer.

Midomi – you don’t even need to keep it. Just set it to download, hum a few bars, find out what your songs name is and delete the app

Facebook – I can only say I’m disappointed with this one after the amaziing web app, but I suggest it in hope that updates will fix it. :(

Bank of America – what an awsome app. I always know how much cash I have

Mobile News – instant access to top headlines with a slick design. No headache from looking at drudgereport.com

Sports Tap – let’s you know how many recent games have been finished, and gets quick sports results.

Good Buys:

(Here is the official best buy so far in terms of games in the app store below)

Toy Bot Diaries ($5) – A simple physics puzzle game that feels like a game instead of a chore. addicting but short enough not to stea your day away.

Enigmo ($10)- an awsome puzzler. Will keep you thinking and playing for a long time

Galcon ($10)- the first rts game for the iphone and the word is the developer will be updating it to have multiplayer abilities later in the year. Without reservation my favorite game

Funky Punch ($8) – The first street fighter game to appear. Might not be worth 8 bucks but is definitely a first and a very fun game once you adjust to controls. I would like to see however some multiplayer wifi in the future.

the great secret that is apple stock

Most” people ignore the opportunities that are right in front of them. “Most” people ignore the pattern that apple stock consistently takes. “Most” people play it safe and make a modest profit on apple stock through buy and hold principles. Apple people should not be “most” people!

These “most” people profess faith in apple, and, in some ways they show it (buying the iPhone), but when it comes to stock, “most” apple owners are just as oblivious as the rest of the world. The average apple stock owner still believes that apple fluxuates based on the state of the current US economy. Years ago that may have been true, but things have been different for a long time. Apple not only continues to have amazing growth in the US, during what many call a recession (note the millions of iPhone 3G’s sold in just days), but Apple also has a stranglehold on the rest of the world.

Because of the reliability of apple to astound on a regular and scheduled basis, the stock has followed an extremely reliable pattern for many years. I am specifically talking to you people on the apple finance board who sit on the computer every day watching the stock go up and down, and talking to each other about how it will go up as soon as you sell and you’ll lose more than is worth, so you sit and wait and never sell and let the months pass by. WAKE UP!!

The stock follows a beautifully reliable trend. If you claim even to be long term traders. Then sell your stock after every Macworld and WWDC, because after every one, the stock is certain to drop. The boards may be telling you otherwise, and the experts may say otherwise, but the facts remain. After every Macworld and WWDC the stock goes up a little then plummets for the next month (give or take a few weeks). THAT IS WHEN YOU BUY. When the stock hits a stagnant spot for 2-3 weeks. Then Apple begins it’s steady climb back up the charts.

The perfect example of this trend is being shown now. Why are apple stocks going down even with the iphone selling at record speeds? They are going down because apple wants them to go down. Steve Jobs is using his mind control powers to make them drop JUST FOR YOU. More seriously, have you ever noticed how unflattering Apple always in in its third quarter estimates of itself? I am going to tentatively site the Stevenote effect, aka the effect of the keynote given by steve jobs that makes apple stock drop after he announces new products. “Most” people are skeptical about this, unquantifiable thing, but what really matters is that it’s there. Just like every other apple product. We’re not buying it so we can question how fabulous it is. We’re just supposed to enjoy.

And just to help you people who need hard facts to convince you, this site shows the drops in apple stock since Jan 1998 to the present after the keynote adresses.

KEYNOTE INDEX

 Chances are this won’t convince you anyways. If you’re worried about this being too general a policy of buy and sell to stick to, then you’re a smart person. The pattern that the stock takes is not always the same. Sometimes, especially recently, the drops after the keynote are bigger than others. When the iphone first was announced the stock drop was almost like lightning. A similar effect took place when the iPhone 3G became available. So it is essential to watch for what products are being released to gauge how soon you want to sell and when you want to buy back. The Bigger the product, the bigger the stock loss before it climbs back up for another big gain. I’m waiting for the touch/tablet computer that apple will be selling within the next four years. That will be another big stock opportunity.

So allow me to recap:

1. Sell your stock within the 1st week after Macworld and the WWDC, depending on the expectations of the products, remember bigger product release = bigger stock loss.
2. Buy back within 2 months after stock flattens and then gains 15 points or more and seems to be rising.
3. Enjoy profits.

Allow me to stress however that there are minor fluxuations so it’s not a perfect system. But the pattern on a whole is reliable and this system will work pretty much all the time. Besides. “Most” of you will just ignore what I’ve said and hold on to your apple stock until the next ice age. Oh well :)